Belarusian invasion of Ukraine is extremely unlikely

Lukashenko's support for Russia's war in Ukraine and Russia's pressure on Belarus to join the hostilities are likely to cause dissension in the Belarusian army.

The Belarusian military is certainly aware of the significant losses suffered by the Russian army in Ukraine and, most likely, do not want to get the same result, - reports the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).