Russia may try to resume attacks on Ukraine as early as April 2023,
The German Defense Ministry does not rule out that a new Russian offensive will begin in April 2023 and will be inevitable. The Kremlin is counting on the help of Belarus, while two scenarios are possible: Russia can go on the offensive in Donbas with the help of Lukashenka.
The army of Belarus will be a diversion by deploying weapons near the border with Ukraine. At the same time, analysts still believe that Lukashenka will not directly get involved in the war. Improbable.
Belarus enters into an open war against Ukraine.
In this case, the Belarusian troops would go on the offensive against Kyiv, and the Russians would advance throughout the Donbas.
Also, the occupiers could strike at the west of Ukraine in order to repel the supply of equipment from partners and "force Ukraine to capitulate." For this scenario, the Russian Federation will require many times more troops than it currently has.